When you’re in the process of selling in Canada, it can be confusing to navigate an offer on your house and figure out whether any are worth accepting. Assessing offers on a house involves carefully considering various components to ensure the best outcome for the seller. Whether you are in the vibrant cities of Toronto and Vancouver or the tranquil landscapes of rural Canada, our guide can help you secure an offer that meets your financial and real estate goals.

Assess Financial Components

The financial components of the offer are the first thing sellers look at when considering an offer. This step involves a detailed examination of the offered price, the earnest money deposit, and any additional financial considerations that might impact the transaction.

Evaluate the Offer Price – The offer price is often the most immediately scrutinized component of an offer. Compare the offered price with your property’s appraised value and the insights gained from your Comparative Market Analysis (CMA). This comparison will help you determine how the offer aligns with your expectations and the current market conditions.

Weigh Against Financial Goals and Needs – Beyond market comparisons, assess how the offer on your house aligns with your financial goals and needs. Consider the net proceeds from the sale after accounting for closing costs, agent commissions, and any outstanding mortgage or liens on the property. Reflect on whether the offer meets your financial objectives and accommodates your plans.

Assess the Buyer’s Commitment – The deposit reflects the buyer’s commitment to the transaction. A larger down payment typically signifies a serious buyer, reducing the risk of the deal falling through. Some buyers might even include a deposit cheque or personal letter indicating they are just as interested in buying the home as you are in selling it.

Analyze Offer Conditions

Analyzing the conditions within an offer is a crucial step, as these stipulations can significantly impact the progress and finalization of the transaction. Conditions are clauses within the offer that must be fulfilled for the sale to proceed, and they often include aspects related to financing, inspections, and additional terms that can be deal-makers or deal-breakers.

Buyer’s Mortgage Pre-Approval and Financing Stability – Evaluate the buyer’s financial readiness by reviewing any financing conditions. A buyer with a mortgage pre-approval is generally more reliable, as this indicates a lender’s preliminary commitment to lend. Assess the stability of the buyer’s financing, considering factors such as the down payment amount, type of loan, and the lender’s reputation.

Home Inspection Conditions – Home inspection conditions are standard in most offers. Anticipate potential issues that might arise during the inspection, such as necessary repairs or system upgrades. Be prepared to address these concerns by negotiating price adjustments or agreeing to undertake repairs before closing.

Closing Date – Evaluate whether the proposed closing date aligns with your relocation plans, giving you ample time to move out and ensuring a smooth transition to your next residence. While a sooner closing date might be tempting for quicker access to funds, it’s essential to balance convenience with practicality. Assess your ability to meet the proposed closing date and consider whether a more flexible timeline might benefit both parties, reducing stress and allowing for unforeseen delays or complications.

Accept, Reject, or Counteroffer?

After meticulously evaluating the offer, understanding your property’s value, analyzing financial components, and dissecting various conditions, you reach a critical juncture: deciding whether to accept, reject, or counter the offer.

Accepting the Offer – If the offer aligns well with your expectations and needs, communicate your acceptance promptly and clearly. Ensure that all parties are informed and that acceptance is documented in accordance with local and provincial regulations.

Crafting a Counteroffer – If some aspects of the offer are not satisfactory, identify areas for negotiation. Be clear about your requirements and what adjustments are needed to reach an agreement, whether it’s the price, closing date, or specific conditions.

Rejecting the Offer – If the offer falls significantly short of your expectations and there is little room for compromise, it may be in your best interest to reject it. Communicate your decision diplomatically, providing clear reasons for the rejection and, if possible, offering guidance on what would make the offer acceptable.

Navigating through the intricacies of assessing an offer on your house in the Canadian real estate market is a journey that requires knowledge, diligence, and strategic thinking. Reach out to us to learn more.

Source

The Bank of Canada has maintained its target for the overnight rate at 5% and is continuing quantitative tightening. The global economy is slowing, and inflation has decreased. 

In the United States, growth remains strong, but it is expected to weaken in the coming months due to past policy rate increases. The euro area has experienced weakened growth and lower energy prices, impacting inflation. 

Oil prices are $10-per-barrel lower than assumed in the previous report.

Canada's economic growth stalled in 2023, with a 1.1% contraction in the third quarter. Higher interest rates are constraining spending, leading to minimal consumption growth.

The labor market is easing, and despite rising wages, the overall economic data suggests no excess demand.

The slowdown in the economy is reducing inflationary pressures, contributing to a drop in CPI inflation to 3.1% in October. Shelter price inflation has increased due to faster growth in housing costs. 

The Bank's preferred measures of core inflation have been around 3.5-4%. With signs that monetary policy is moderating spending and alleviating price pressures, the Bank has decided to hold the policy rate at 5% and continue normalizing the balance sheet. 

The Governing Council remains concerned about inflation outlook risks and is prepared to raise the policy rate further if needed. The focus is on sustained easing in core inflation, balancing demand and supply, inflation expectations, wage growth, and corporate pricing behaviour.

The Bank is committed to restoring price stability for Canadians, with the next rate target announcement scheduled for January 24, 2023.

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High borrowing costs and uncertain economic conditions continued to weigh on Greater Toronto Area (GTA) home sales in November 2023. Sales were down on a year-over-year basis, while listings were up from last year’s trough in supply. With more choice in the market, selling prices remained basically flat year-over-year.

There were 4,236 sales reported through TRREB’s MLS® System in November 2023 – a 6% decline compared to November 2022. Over the same period, the number of new listings was up by 16.5%. On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, sales edged up compared to October 2023, while new listings were down by 5.5%.

The MLS® Home Price Index Composite benchmark and the average selling price, at $1,082,179, in November 2023 were basically flat in comparison to November 2022. On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, the MLS® HPI Composite benchmark was down by 1.7%. The average selling price was down 2.2% cent month-overmonth.

Home prices have adjusted from their peak in response to higher borrowing costs. This has provided some relief for buyers, from an affordability perspective. As mortgage rates trend lower next year and the population continues to grow at a record pace, expect demand to increase relative to supply. This will eventually lead to renewed growth in home prices.

Houses and condos are meant to be homes, first and foremost. We know the demand for homes, both rental and ownership, will grow for years to come. We have seen some productive policy decisions recently that should help with housing affordability, including allowing existing insured mortgage holders to switch lenders without the stress test. 

Additionally, in the interest of household and economic stability, we continue to call on the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OSFI) to apply the same approach to uninsured mortgages. It also goes without saying that further policy work is required to bring more supply online.

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The Canadian real estate market is facing new realities. The Bank of Canada’s (BoC) rising interest rates have made purchasing a residential property more expensive. Higher immigration levels will likely exacerbate the supply-demand imbalance. Rising inflation, higher borrowing costs, and growing labour shortages have made housing construction activity a bit more subdued. As a result of these new market realities, many households today are searching for different types of housing, particularly value-added properties and communities.

“Today’s purchasers are focusing on value-added properties and communities, given new market realities,” said Elton Ash, the executive vice president of RE/MAX Canada.

“Listings that offer a short or long-term benefit – be it a basement apartment that allows homeowners to offset their mortgage costs now or homes that hold long-term potential in a future renovation or sale to a builder—are most sought-after. Location, while still an important aspect, has been replaced by value and necessity. A growing number of buyers are willing to travel further afield to get the best bang for their buck.”

Considering how high rents have become in the last couple of years, even a modest discount on a basement apartment’s rent can support homeowners’ mortgage payments.

A Look at the Numbers

The latest shift in consumer demand helps explain why detached home sales climbed up to nearly 45 per cent in the first half of 2023 in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) housing market and close to 30 per cent in the Greater Vancouver Area (GVA) real estate market, according to new data compiled by RE/MAX.

Whether they bought at the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic when the central bank slashed rates to nearly zero, or families who took advantage of the modest correction during the BoC’s tightening cycle at the start of spring 2022, homebuyers will enjoy the long-term benefit of higher home prices because of the additional value found inside these residential properties.

To further support this supposition, the York Region housing market enjoyed a significant boost in detached home sales in the second quarter, skyrocketing 104 per cent from the previous quarter. As demand continues to increase and supplies fail to keep up, home valuations will likely maintain their general upward trajectory.

But the state of communities is essential, too. Whether it is amenities or the neighbourhood’s fabric, everything outside of a residential property can support prices. For homebuyers, it is a balancing act: the arts and culture of a major urban centre or the large shopping malls and large chain restaurants in these smaller communities.

And then there is the issue of taxes, especially the municipal land transfer tax.

While detached homes situated in areas outside Toronto enjoy slightly lower prices, they are not subjected to the municipal land transfer tax, something that provides enormous savings for homebuyers.

Remember, a recent Leger survey found that more than one-quarter of Canadians (28 per cent) say that the land transfer tax has affected their decision to dip or not to dip their toes in the Canadian real estate market.

Meanwhile, shifting back to the major urban centre, a handful of neighbourhoods in Toronto that possess long-term potential are bucking the national trend of sliding detached home sales.

Bathurst Manor-Clanton Park is considered the most affordable and undervalued area of North America’s fourth-largest city. Detached housing values are a little more than $1.7 million, representing the lowest average price point in the downtown core, which explains the robust homebuying activity in the first six months of 2023 compared to the same time a year ago.

H2 Investors Versus First-Time Homebuyers

There is little doubt that value-added properties are exceptional investments. The challenge, however, is that there is fierce competition between investors and first-time homebuyers.

According to Statistics Canada, housing markets that possess the largest percentage of investor-owned housing are Toronto (22 per cent), Georgina (18 per cent), East Gwillimbury (15 per cent), Richmond Hill (15 per cent), and Mississauga (14 per cent).

So, this creates a barrier to entry for households acquiring a detached home in either Toronto Central or municipalities outside Canada’s largest city.

“In Ontario, businesses owned 74,485 condominium apartments for investment purposes,” Statistics Canada stated in its report. “Most condominium apartments used as an investment in both Ontario and Manitoba were owned by in-province investors.”

Whatever the case may be, it is clear that shrinking inventories and robust demand will add to Canadian real estate market prices, be it in British Columbia or Ontario. Don’t believe it? Not even the Bank of Canada raising interest rates put a major dent into home prices this past year.

Source

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Despite the high interest rates and the “nervous” predictions of how prices will be impacted, sales stats were similar to last year, both in terms of numbers and prices.

Toronto area realtors sold almost 4,700 homes in October, with the average home taking just 21 days to sell. Year to date the average sale price stands at $1,136,681 down 4.7% from the start of the year, but that’s not significant as one realizes the “mix “of homes sold favours less expensive homes due to the higher cost of borrowing.

The difference that I see today versus a year ago, is that the stock of homes for sale, the inventory, is now at almost 20,000, roughly 4 months’ supply and the highest we have seen for some time. This reflects the fact that while people want to buy, high borrowing rates and fear of the unknown is keeping them on the sidelines. This 4-month’s of inventory represents a great buying opportunity for those in a position to make a move.

Predictions of a drastic drop in prices just haven’t materialized. These predictions have been circulating since the year 2,000 whenever there has been a blip in stabilizing factors such as the financial system meltdown (U.S.) in 2008, mortgage policy changes to qualifying buyers in 2016 and tight inventory.  Today’s 4 months of inventory not only allows for more choice, it reduces competition and multiple offers.

Predictions for next year are that rates will decline, immigration will increase and with it will come buyer competition and a return to bidding wars. If you can, I  recommend getting off the sidelines and move up or renovate. Give me a call, lets chat about the excellent opportunities in this market and how they affect you specifically.

If you know someone thinking of buying or selling, please help us all connect. I will do my utmost for them, even if it’s only advice. I truly appreciate your continued support in making my business successful and at the same time helping someone you care about!

Have a great rest of November.

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During the pandemic-era housing boom, many homebuyers purchased residential properties at rock-bottom mortgage rates. In response to the national economy’s pressures, the Bank of Canada (BoC) slashed interest rates to near zero, allowing prospective homeowners to obtain greater purchasing power and acquire a detached house, townhome, or condominium suite that might have exceeded their initial budgetary limits.

Now that rates are at their highest levels in 16 years and the average five-year fixed mortgage rate is close to six percent when these homeowners renew their mortgages, they will need to be prepared for higher monthly payments. It might be a couple of hundred dollars, or it might be a couple of thousand dollars. It all depends on the size of the mortgage and the rate.

Before diving into the steps of renewing the mortgage, it is essential to become acquainted with the basics of mortgage renewals.

Mortgage Renewal: A Primer

So, what do you need to know about a mortgage renewal?

The term of their mortgage expires between one and five years, and you need to renew your mortgage to continue borrowing from the lender. When a mortgage term ends, you can modify the terms of the original mortgage, including changing the length of the term, from a three-year term to a six-year term, for example. Or you may adjust the amortization period or payment frequency.

What You Need to Know About Requalifying

Now, what about requalifying for a mortgage?

Borrowers need to requalify if they switch mortgage lenders. At the same time, considering how high interest rates are today, this would be pretty challenging to requalify for some. The process can be a lot easier if borrowers renew with the current mortgage lender and refrain from negotiating better terms and conditions. However, once mortgage holders attempt to shop around for a different lender, they must requalify. This could leave them in a difficult situation: it would be tougher to renew, and subsequently, homeowners might be left without a lender, forcing them to sell their home. Of course, the other option is to meet with a private lender and pay significantly higher interest rates.

H2 Steps to Mortgage Renewal

Mortgage renewal is a crucial decision that should be carefully considered. You must view current market conditions, evaluate your financial goals, and consult with mortgage professionals to ensure the renewed mortgage aligns with your goals. In addition, the process will involve renegotiating the terms and conditions of an existing mortgage loan, which affirms that a decision must be well-planned.

Here are six steps to follow when renewing a mortgage:

#1 Start the Process Before the Current Mortgage Expires

Beginning the renewal process a few months before your current mortgage term expires is vital. This will give you time to study the market, compare offers from different lenders, and negotiate the best terms. The renewal process can be initiated through your lender or mortgage broker.

#2 Clearly Understand the Terms of Your Current Mortgage

Mortgage agreements can be complex, and you should read the fine print before you start the renewal process. Therefore, you must carefully assess the current mortgage agreement, including the interest rate, remaining balance, repayment terms, and, most importantly, any applicable fees or penalties you may have to pay if you terminate the mortgage early.

This step lets you identify the changes or improvements you want in the renewed mortgage.

#3 Check the Market and Get Competitive Rates

Renewing your mortgage allows you to explore other lending options. Your goal should be to secure the most favourable terms. For this, you will need a clear idea about current interest rates, different mortgage products, and terms offered by other lenders. Many borrowers are not well-versed in these things, so consulting with a mortgage broker can simplify this process.

#4 Always Negotiate the Terms

When you have collected sufficient information about competitive rates and the different types of mortgages, you should first negotiate with your existing lender unless your goal is to find a new one altogether.

If your existing lender is not offering you the best terms, you can turn to potential new lenders and consider two other components:

• Evaluate each offer according to the improvements you seek in the new mortgage agreement.

• Ensure you receive better terms in the renewed deal regarding the interest rate, repayment schedule, amortization period, and prepayment options.

#5 Ensure All Documentation is Complete

The process of getting a mortgage (or renewing one) is intricate. One area that requires a bit more due diligence is documentation, as lenders will request a lot of paperwork:

• Proof of income

• Employment verification

• Bank statements

• Other documents that can help lenders determine your financial stability.

Indeed, this is a critical step, so ensuring all documents are accurate and provided to the lenders without delay is imperative.

#6 Review the New Agreement Carefully

Lastly, the final step during your renewal process is to review the terms and conditions of the new mortgage agreement. As a result, be sure to check the interest rate and payment schedule and ensure they align with your goals. If you need help understanding something, seek clarification from an industry professional. Ultimately, you should only sign the mortgage renewal agreement if you are delighted with the terms or have no better option.

Source
CMHC

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Living in an “information age,” the answers to nearly every question are just a click away. Problems find solutions, mysteries are solved, and the world seems to spin faster, but how do we verify that the information is correct?

With 90% of consumers beginning their home search online, virtually anyone can make a reasonably educated guess on what the value of their home is. Sellers can explore similar houses with similar features and cross-reference those with listings in their neighbourhood to see what buyers are looking for and how much they are willing to pay. As a buyer, this leaves you wondering whether you are paying a fair price for your dream home. Fortunately, some professionals conduct Home Appraisals, giving everyone involved in the transaction peace of mind.

Home Appraisal

A home appraisal is an objective assessment of a property’s value conducted by a licensed or certified appraiser. The home appraisal provides buyers with a market value of the home based on several factors, including the property’s location, age, and current condition. A home appraisal generally costs between $300-$400, and along with providing security to all parties involved, it is also used to satisfy mortgage requirements.

During the appraisal process, the appraiser visits the property and conducts a thorough inspection, taking note of its physical characteristics, features, and any improvements or renovations. The appraiser also considers factors such as the neighbourhood, proximity to amenities, and recent sales of comparable properties in the area.

After gathering all the necessary information, the appraiser uses a combination of valuation methods, including the sales comparison approach, income approach (for rental properties), and cost approach, to arrive at an estimated value for the property. The final appraisal report provides a detailed analysis and justification for the determined value.

Mortgage financing companies want to know the value of the property they are providing a loan for, should the buyer not be able to pay their mortgage. By getting a home appraisal, all parties can feel secure in the sale, knowing they are making a good investment and receiving a fair arrangement.

Current Market Assessment

A current market assessment (CMA), also known as a market analysis or market evaluation, is an evaluation of a specific market’s current state and conditions. It involves gathering and analyzing data to understand the dynamics, trends, and factors influencing supply, demand, and pricing within a particular market segment or industry. There are several elements considered:

Market Size and Growth – The market is assessed regarding sales volume, revenue, or other relevant metrics. Additionally, historical data and trends are analyzed to determine the market’s growth rate over a specific period.

Market Segmentation – A CMA identifies and categorizes the market into segments based on various factors such as demographics, customer preferences, product types, or geographic locations.

Competitive Landscape – A CMA evaluates the competitive environment within the market, including the number and strength of competitors, their market share, key players, and their strategies.

Supply and Demand Analysis – The market’s balance between supply and demand is examined. This includes analyzing inventory levels, production capacity, consumer preferences, and pricing dynamics.

Market Trends and Influencing Factors – Key trends, drivers, and external factors that impact the market are identified and analyzed. This includes technological advancements, regulatory changes, economic conditions, consumer behaviour, and social trends.

A home appraisal is not to be confused with a current market assessment. Typically, a CMA is provided by your local real estate agent during the listing process and is complimentary. This report assists with determining the home’s asking price, using current housing market information such as supply and demand, seasonality and home information like location, age, square footage and more.

Although both reports are similar and use relatively the same set of criteria, a CMA is ultimately determined by what current buyers are willing to pay for the home in a range acceptable to the seller. A Home Appraisal is based strictly on the physical attributes of the house.

Ensure you are prepared and ready for anything in your home-buying journey. Are you interested in getting a Current Market Assessment on your home? Connect with me today!

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The Canadian housing market has seen record prices over the last two years. With record-low inventories and increasing demand, prices soared from coast-to-coast. It is the perfect recipe to create a seller’s market, meaning that competition for homes is fierce. RE/MAX brokers reported multiple-offer scenarios in key Canadian housing markets such as Toronto, Ottawa, and Vancouver. This leads many to question what prompts multiple offers and how to win a bidding war.

How a Bidding War Works

In a seller’s market, there are more buyers than homes available for sale. The combination of limited inventory and high demand often puts upward pressure on prices, creating the ideal conditions for a bidding war. Homes typically sell quickly in a seller’s market, and multiple offers on a listing are more likely, giving the seller the upper hand.

When market conditions favour sellers, demand is usually up, and inventory is down, which has been the case throughout the pandemic. With few listings on the market, the seller and listing agent may choose to set an offer deadline by which interested buyers must submit their offers. In a bidding war, there are multiple offers and pressure for potential buyers to compete to raise their bids, pushing the sale price well above asking.

A bidding war typically follows these steps:

• Buyers interested in the property submit their offers to the seller or real estate agent. The offer typically includes the proposed purchase price, conditions or contingencies, and the desired closing timeline.

• The seller reviews all received offers and assesses their attractiveness based on the purchase price, closing timeline, contingencies, financing details, and buyer qualifications.

• The seller may negotiate and respond to one or more buyers by issuing counteroffers. Counteroffers typically involve adjustments to the original offer’s purchase price, terms, or conditions.

• A bidding war can emerge if multiple buyers are still interested and engaged. Buyers may be notified that they are in a competitive situation and can revise and improve their offers.

• Buyers raise their initial offers, often exceeding the original asking price, to outbid other potential buyers and demonstrate their commitment to securing the property.

• The seller evaluates the revised offers and determines which is most favourable based on the purchase price, conditions, financing, and the buyer’s ability to close the deal.

• The seller accepts the winning offer, and the buyer proceeds to fulfill any remaining conditions or contingencies specified in the offer. Once all requirements are met, the sale is finalized, and the closing process begins.

In Canada, policymakers have introduced various measures to address these issues. For instance, cooling measures have been implemented to curb excessive speculation and prevent housing bubbles. These measures include foreign buyer taxes, restrictions on foreign investments, and stricter mortgage qualification rules. The objective is to ensure that the housing market remains accessible to Canadian residents and that affordability is not compromised.

The Importance of a Real Estate Agent in a Seller’s Market

Sellers can only hope to receive multiple offers on their listings. However, from the buyer’s perspective, it can be a frustrating and emotional experience. When you look at the bigger picture of a home purchase, “winning” is relative to the buyer’s goals. If the only objective is to buy a specific home, then offering the highest possible purchase price with no offer conditions is the way to go. It is the way to get the house you want.

However, most homebuyers have other goals, such as buying within a specific price point and a defined timeline for closing the deal and moving in. Then there’s the home itself. Does the buyer intend to fix and flip it? Demolish and build? Or are they seeking a move-in-ready home? Whatever that goal is, buyers should communicate it to their realtor, who can help strategize how to reach it. While you might need to make some concessions, your realtor will do what is necessary to realize as many of your goals as possible.

The real estate agent’s job is to approach the transaction objectively. This includes the process of real estate bidding and negotiating. They can bring logic to this emotional process and potentially help you avoid a massive financial risk. A professional, experienced real estate agent who knows the local market can help you keep your eyes on the prize – a home that suits you, your budget, and your long-term goals.

How to Win a Bidding War

Here are some strategies to help you make an intelligent bid and a wise purchase if all goes in your favour:

Know Your Budget – Knowing how much you can spend on a home is critical for a homebuyer. Getting a mortgage pre-approval can provide valuable insight and guarantees your mortgage interest rate for up to 120 days, which is essential as rates climb upward. When you’re ready to make an offer, despite your eagerness to win the war, so to speak, do your due diligence and consult with your lender before making a firm offer.

Consider the Worth of the House – This is especially important as housing prices soar, even in smaller communities. Your real estate agent will pull recent sales stats, giving you valuable insight into the selling price of comparable homes in the same neighbourhood and under the same market conditions. This can help you determine an offer you’re comfortable with and whether competing against other bids makes sense.

Reduce Your Offer Conditions – In a seller’s market, having fewer conditions on your offer can work in your favour. Flexibility on your desired closing date or inclusions could tip the scales in your favour. A clean offer is more likely to win in a seller’s market, especially in a bidding war. With that said, we highly recommend making the offer conditional on a satisfactory home inspection. Remember that even if you discover issues with the home in a seller’s market, you may still not have much negotiating power. However, having this information will help you decide if the house is worth what you’re expected to pay.

Consider the Location – Beyond the home itself, remember that location is a huge factor in determining a home’s value. Premium neighbourhoods come at higher prices, thanks to proximity to amenities, green space, transit routes, shopping, services, and other factors. Whatever draws people into the area is likely a factor driving up the selling price.

How to Avoid a Bidding War

Short-Term Strategy – One trick to winning a bidding war is to avoid it altogether. Make an offer before the home hits the MLS system or gains buyer attention through an open house. Your agent will best advise you on how to proceed, so prepare to drop everything to tour a new listing and make your offer before someone else does! (Note: Mortgage pre-approval in this scenario is critical.)

Long-Term Planning – The spring and summer real estate markets see the most activity under normal conditions, with buyers out in droves and bidding wars bubbling at the surface. If you’re not in a hurry to buy, minimize your competition and possibly even price by shopping in the “off” season. Winter sees a drop in inventory and demand, reducing your chance of being outbid.

Do Your Homework – You’ve determined how much you can afford, right? And you know what the home is worth based on the comparables your real estate agent pulled for you. You also know what the home is worth based on your lifestyle, budget, and future employment prospects. Make a bid that’s reflective of all these considerations. Before jumping on the bidding bandwagon, be confident you’re getting a good deal.

When asking how you win a bidding war, remember that the spoils don’t always go to the highest bidder. Know when to walk away. Even in a seller’s market, the perfect home is out there, waiting for you to find it.

Source

If you are interested in purchasing a residential property in 2023, the competition will be fierce as housing supply remains tight and demand begins to be renewed. Mortgage rates have likely peaked, the consumer remains in decent shape, the Canadian government’s immigration program anticipates seeing hundreds of thousands of newcomers in the next couple of years, and the national economy is holding steady.

While housing affordability is not at the forefront of the federal government as it was in the last election campaign, many local governments are taking action to ensure that more Canadians can achieve the dream of homeownership. But will this be enough to increase housing opportunities and ownership rates? Many industry observers argue that federal policy proposals, such as home renovation tax credits and co-housing CMHC-backed mortgages, might not be enough to curb sky-high prices. Instead, policymakers need to facilitate more supply initiatives, like streamlining new developments and speeding up the application process.

Indeed, despite the housing correction over the last 18 months, prices are still above their pre-pandemic levels, be it a detached residential property in Atlantic Canada or a condominium in downtown Toronto. This has left many Canadian households to continue renting, which has also become an exorbitant expense in plenty of markets.

So, are these trends weighing on homeownership rates across the country?

Home Ownership Rates Drop Across Canadian Real Estate Market

Since the beginning of the century, the homeownership rate in the Canadian real estate market has steadily risen, climbing from 63.9 per cent in 2000 to an all-time high of 68.55 per cent in 2019. However, according to Statistics Canada, the national homeownership rate slipped to a four-year low of 66.5 per cent in 2022. In all provinces, homeownership rates have been on the decline.

Here is a breakdown of provincial homeownership levels:

• British Columbia: -3.2 per cent to 66.8 per cent

• Alberta: -2.7 per cent to 70.9 per cent

• Saskatchewan: -1.9 per cent to 70.7 per cent

• Manitoba: -2.6 per cent to 67.4 per cent

• Ontario: -3.1 per cent to 68.4 per cent

• New Brunswick: -2.7 per cent to 73 per cent

• Nova Scotia: -4 per cent to 66.8 per cent

• Prince Edward Island: -4.6 per cent to 68.8 per cent

• Newfoundland and Labrador: -1.8 per cent to 75.7 per cent

Put simply, the homeownership rate is higher at the provincial level than nationally. However, the two most populous and expensive Canadian real estate markets – Ontario and British Columbia – are closer to what it is nationwide.

In addition, Canada ranked 23rd among Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. This was also below the OECD’s average of 71.5 per cent.

Overall, everything that has transpired over the past year, from higher interest rates to slowing economic conditions, has discouraged young Canadians about owning a residential property.

Survey: Young Canadians Discouraged About Homeownership

According to the Bank of Montreal’s recent Real Financial Progress Index, 68 per cent of Canadians feel purchasing a home is out of reach. Seventy-one per cent of Generation Z Canadians (18 to 24) are most likely to share this view. This is followed by 69 per cent of younger millennials (25 to 34) and 65 per cent of older millennials (35 to 44).

The June 2023 survey from the financial institution revealed that 67 per cent of Generation Z Canadians plan to defer their home-buying efforts, while 73 per cent of younger millennials postpone their home-buying plans.

“While the challenging market and economic conditions may pose hurdles and uncertainty, we encourage Canadians to work with a professional advisor or planner to explore the many paths to homeownership,” said Gayle Ramsay, the head of everyday Banking, segment and Customer Growth at BMO, in a statement.

Finally, 71 per cent of Canadians consider housing costs the third largest source of financial anxiety, following unknown expenses and concerns about their personal finances.

Another Stark Revelation: Falling Housing Investment

Housing investment is falling across the country.

Statistics Canada recently reported that investment in building construction slumped 1.3 per cent in March to $20.3 billion. Within this category, residential sector investment construction tumbled 2.1 per cent to $14.6 billion, while non-residential sector spending rose 0.9 per cent to $5.7 billion.

The statistics agency discovered that investment in single-family homes dropped 1.8 per cent to $7.9 billion, with seven provinces recording declines. Moreover, multi-unit construction slipped 2.4 per cent to $6.7 billion, led by Ontario (-4.7 per cent).

This trend is seen in new housing construction activity data Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) data show that housing starts declined 23 per cent month-over-month in May, totalling 202,494 units. Despite an immense jump in April, it was down considerably in March at 213,800 units.

Rishi Sondhi, an economist at TD Bank, says this has been expected due to declines in home sales feeding “into falling construction activity.”

“This is also consistent with permit issuance, which has dropped to 2019 levels, before the pandemic-induced runup in demand and construction,” Sondhi wrote in a research note.

“That said, starts are volatile and not every data point will move in a straight line downwards. Even with today’s decline, starts are tracking 4% higher than their first-quarter average, thanks to an April pop. This, alongside what will likely be a super-sized gain in home sales should generate a positive second-quarter growth print for residential investment, supporting the overall economy.”

Heading Into 2024 – and Beyond!

The Canadian real estate market has many storylines to follow, from high borrowing costs to tight inventories. The coming year should be an exciting time in Canada, with many components that could weigh on or support the direction of the overall housing activity, be it interest rates or local reforms. Whether prices will rebound in the second half of 2023 and heading into 2024 remains to be seen.

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